Yesterday, we got the big news that two of the biggest prospects in baseball would be called up to join an already star studded crop for 2015. Byron Buxton of the Twins and Francisco Lindor of the Indians are set to join Kris Bryant, Joey Gallo and company in the bigs, making their MLB debut. Considering that guys like Carlos Correa, Addison Russell and a few others are already up with the clubs, this could end up being one of the best rookie classes in MLB history.
Here is what Buxton and Lindor are going for these days:
2013 Bowman Chrome Byron Buxton Blue Refractor Auto BGS 9.5
2014 National Treasures Byron Buxton Silhouette Auto Twins Logo 1/25
2014 Bowman Platinum Byron Buxton Dirty Jumbo Patch Auto Red /25
2011 Bowman Chrome Francisco Lindor Red Refractor Auto BGS 9.5
2011 Bowman Sterling Francisco Lindor Gold Refractor Auto RC
We have already seen the impact that rookies have had so far this year, with Bryant starting to pile on the home runs and RBIs just like he was projected to do. Collectors have been clamoring to get some of his cards squared away in their collections as a result. Others like Carlos Correa (drafted in the same year as Buxton) just got the call, and have already been doing very well. Buxton is rated as Baseball’s number 2 prospect, and many believe he could be a mainstay for the surprise Twins in their outfield for years. That would mean great things for his cards.
Buxton has been a GREAT signer for Topps over the years, as his cards have been readily available across all brands. Leaf and Panini have also had a big opportunity with him, as his autographs are well documented in the recent releases there as well. The question with prospects like we are seeing this year is whether or not they can live up to the hype. The rule of thumb is always to buy low and sell high, but doing so right around call up can be a very risky proposition.
Development is always a big part of success within the game, as it can take a few years for anyone to get to their true potential. Bryant may have been able to get going right out of the gates, but there are arguments to be made that this start might mean little in the grand scheme. Of course, that hasnt stopped everyone and their mothers from chasing down his autographs, as the rarer ones have sold for thousands more than even proven all stars and MVPs.
It used to be that everyone was trying to find the next Albert Pujols. A guy who rocketed out of the blocks, and has already won multiple MVPs, World Titles, and hit his 500th home run last year. His cards were the hottest thing in baseball for years. Since moving to the Angels a few years ago, things have cooled off. Now, its trying to find the next Mike Trout, as his potential ceiling seems to be even higher than Pujols, as long as he can continue playing at the way he is right now. Trout is the face of Baseball cards right now, with his autographs being more valuable than just about anyone. Both Pujols and Trout came about in a way very differently than Buxton, Bryce Harper or even Bryant, as both were lower picks in the first round instead of the top or second pick.
In all reality, this isnt the way to go about playing the prospecting game, as Pujols and Trout are generational in their talents. To pick that one guy out of THOUSANDS is like winning the lottery, and like the lottery, shouldnt be counted on. Baseball cards just arent investment worthy any more, and havent been for the last few decades. Cards should be used as the hobby and for fun, even though there are still people who can make money prospecting. The amount of work that goes into that kind of existence is ridiculous, and many people arent willing to put in that time. Most collectors dont understand how hard it is Prospect with the best, as they just think they can buy according to the hype and walk away winners. Doesnt work like that, except in very rare cases.
Taking all of that into consideration, ill still be watching intently as Buxton makes his debut, and will be among the people who will love it when he hopefully plays well. One can dream.