This past Sunday was a big day for the hobby, believe it or not. For the first time this year, Johnny Manziel finally got some legitimate playing time when the Browns got down 17 points versus the Bills. The current situation in Cleveland is murky for the first time all year, with Brian Hoyer experiencing setbacks in throwing interceptions and losing games. This means, for the first time as well, Manziel's increased playing time and hobby super-stardom is also becoming closer to a reality.
Since Sunday, you can see that collectors are a bit more back on board with Manziel. It will climb as he is named starter:
2014 Topps Chrome Johnny Manziel Auto Patch
2014 Topps Chrome Johnny Manziel Auto Money Manziel Inscription
2014 Flawless Johnny Manziel Auto RC 1/1
2014 Crown Royale Johnny Manziel Silhouette Auto Patch
Let’s face it, despite having very little playing time to his name this year, Manziel is still the top rookie in the class. His rare combination of fame and potential is a hobby formula for success even if he doesnt play well at first. Although his prices have dropped significantly he is still the rookie that everyone wants to pull from their box. He is either someone you want to keep for your PC, or sell to someone who is one of his many fans.
The other issue is that the other QB targets this year havent exactly had stellar breakout seasons so far. From the top to the bottom it hasnt been all that wonderful. The Jury on Blake Bortles is still out, despite being near the top of every category a rookie QB does not want to be at. He is having major issues with turnovers on a terrible team, and it doesnt look like things are going to be looking up so far, even with a great comeback win against the Giants. Collectors are buying, but not the way they were before the season started. Bortles still has a lot of hobby ground to make up.
Teddy Bridgewater has managed four wins and a TD pass in each of his last six games, but he isnt lighting it up the way Luck and Griffin did in 2012. As a result, his value isnt likely where his potential dictates, but he is on his way to being the class’ top QB so far. With the controversy surrounding Adrian Peterson likely coming to a close this week, his team may get some help in either putting the situation behind them, or welcoming Peterson back to a team whose running game is hurting badly. Teddy is hobby friendly in playing for a widely collected team, but he is going to need to perform to really win a place in many PCs.
Derek Carr is also having his own struggles, as the 1 win Raiders continually show they are not ready for prime time. Carr has shown flashes this year, including a 4 TD game, and has come far with collectors since being named starter before week 1. The only major issue I see with his hobby value is that if the Raiders end up with the number one pick, does that mean that Carr is going to be a thing of the past? The team is not invested in his contract at all thanks to the rookie wage scale, and his time in Oakland may be spent playing behind a new draftee like Mariota or Winston. Not good.
Manziel may end up being in the best situation when the season is over, as Hoyer is not going to be brought back. He also has a great wide out in Josh Gordon to throw to, and if he can pull it together, the Browns may end up being a team to watch. The issue is that his off the field issues continue to be a public spectacle, and the AFC north is nothing to shake a stick at. The hobby is still behind him, and that isnt a surprise considering how he came into the season with a hype train like we hadnt seen forever.